Prediction of Quentin Halys vs Jiri Lehecka at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai 10-04-25

• In terms of second serve performance, Quentin Halys boasts a winning percentage of 47.40%, slightly trailing Jiri Lehecka's 47.42%. Do these figures hint at any decisive advantage? Not significantly, as both players perform almost evenly in this aspect.
• When examining return game efficiency, Quentin Halys wins 44.28% of opponent second serves, surpassing Jiri Lehecka's 41.90%. Surprisingly, Lehecka edges out Halys in first serve returns with 21.16% compared to 20.80%. How crucial is this? Return stats often play a key role in determining match favorites.
• Confronted with pressure, Jiri Lehecka saves 56.52% of breakpoints, depicting slight resilience over Quentin Halys, who saves 55.09%.
• An overview of their yearly performance indicates that Jiri Lehecka, with a 65.15% match win rate, has outperformed Quentin Halys, who holds a 49.15% win rate. How significant is such a disparity? Quite influential in predicting outcomes.
• Regarding their preferred playing surfaces, both players excel on hard courts, with Lehecka having a slight edge over Halys in indoor conditions.
• Analyzing recent match levels, Lehecka's performance on the Main tour is noteworthy, winning 70.59% of matches compared to Halys's 52.94%.
• Considering opponent quality, Lehecka encounters stiffer competition with an average opponent rank of 62.18, unlike Halys's opponents averaging a rank of 143.05.
• In deciding sets, Lehecka displays greater patience and endurance, securing victories in 53% of such matches compared to Halys's 45%.

Editorial Prediction (October 2, 2025, UTC):

As we assess the match-up between Quentin Halys and Jiri Lehecka, performance in deciding sets could very well tip the scales. Lehecka's slight edge in saving breakpoints, along with his higher winning percentage on the Main tour, are significant indicators of his competitive edge.

Halys exhibits strong return game prowess, especially against second serve points, but overall, Lehecka's superior experience and consistency against higher-ranked opponents may give him the advantage.

Factoring in these elements, Jiri Lehecka is projected as the favorite to win this upcoming match, displaying a slight but significant edge in key statistical areas.